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In The Week Of AUD, The Federal Reserve Increased Its Vigilance Against The Fed.

2014/5/3 21:50:00 5

Australian DollarThe Federal Reserve

< p > < strong > week affects the Australian dollar negative factor < /strong > /p >
< p > 1. China's official manufacturing PMI in April was 50.4, with an expected value of 50.5 and a pre value of 50.3. In April 2014, the 5 classification indices of manufacturing PMI rose 3, 1, and 1 respectively. < /p >
A survey report released by P & amp; Standard (Standard & Poor) showed that the annual rate of house price index of big cities in S&P/CS20 increased by 12.9% in the year of February, with an expected increase of 13%, a 13.2% increase in the previous value, and a 0.8% rise in the monthly rate, or slightly higher than the expected 0.7%. < /p >
< p > 3. the number of ADP employment in the United States increased by 220 thousand people in April, the largest increase since November last year, with an expected increase of 210 thousand people. The former value was revised to increase by 209 thousand, and the initial value increased by 191 thousand. < /p >
< p > 4. data released by the American Association of Supply Management (ISM) show that the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) increased from 53.7 in March to 54.9 in April, the highest since December 2013, and 54.3 is expected. PMI above 50 indicates expansion of industry activity. < /p >
< p > 5.4 months, the number of new non farm workers in the United States increased by 288 thousand, the biggest increase since January 2012, far exceeding / far stronger than expected and the previous value. The unemployment rate in the United States in April was 6.3%, a new low since September 2008, with an expected value of 6.6% and a pre value of 6.7%. < /p >
< p > < strong > week affects Australian dollar a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > favorable factors < /a > /strong > /p >
< p > 1. Australia's first quarter PPI increased by 2.5%, the expected value increased by 2.1%, the former value increased by 1.9%; Australia's first quarter PPI quarter rate increased 0.9%, the expected value rose 0.5%, the former value increased 0.2%. < /p >
< p > 2. the consumer confidence index of the US Chamber of Commerce in April dropped to 82.3, less than expected 83, the former value was revised to 83.9, the initial value was 82.3, the current situation index was 78.3, the former value was revised to 82.5, and the initial value 80.4. < /p >
< p > 3., the first quarter of the United States, the real annual gross domestic product (GDP) value has only increased by 0.1%, the weakest performance since the fourth quarter of 2012, far less than the expected growth of 1.2%, and the growth rate was 2.6% in the fourth quarter of last year. < /p >
< p > 4., Challenger (Gray & Christmas) released data showing that the number of layoffs in the US challengers increased by 5900 to 40298 in April and 34399 in March. The number of layoffs increased moderately, and still below the short and medium term moving average. For example, the average number of layoffs in the first quarter of this year averaged 40447, compared with 40556 in the fourth quarter of last year. < /p >
< p > 5. data compiled by Markit revealed that the final value of PMI for Markit manufacturing in April was 55.4, consistent with the initial value, the lowest level since January this year, and the final value in March is 55.5. PMI above 50 indicates expansion of industry activity. < /p >
< p > < strong > current technical aspect analysis < /strong > < /p >
The daily chart of < p > Australian dollar / USD shows that the RSI index is leveling near the 50 line, and the technical indicators MACD (12, 26, 9) signal lines and the main line 0 axes are crossed at a low level. In the short term, the Australian dollar / US dollar has a risk of falling. The Aussie dollar / US dollar currently stands at 0.9225, the stronger support is 0.9172, the upper resistance is 0.9306, and the stronger resistance is 0.9334. < /p >
< p > < strong > organization < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_cj.asp" > Australian dollar < /a > comment < /strong > /p >
< p > Rui Yin (UBS) said that the current trend and momentum index of the Australian dollar / dollar are all upward. After the exchange rate, there is room for a breakthrough in the upper 0.9345 of resistance level and a test of 0.9461. The support level is 0.9220. < /p >
P, a foreign currency position analyst at BNP Paribas, Paris, said in a recent analysis that the pound and Australian dollar in May were affected by seasonal factors. Through the analysis of the positions held by the Bank of Paris in France, the foreign exchange position analyst pointed out which of the G10 currencies is a multi dominant currency pair and which is a short dominant currency pair. < /p >
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